5

Not Alone

3yo Filly · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix Roquepine - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#7

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Toulouse 15/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 015/0124 @ Toulouse 22/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 02 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 12/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 012/022C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 07/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 02 @ Toulouse 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 010/0421 @ Vincennes 30/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Marseille-borely 03/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 03/06C?C0 @ Agen 17/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 0C0 @ Chatelaillon 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 027/07C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Vichy?0
2026-07-27Chatelaillon?3rd3rd0
2026-06-17Agen?7th7th0
2026-06-03Marseille-borely?4th4th0
2026-05-23Beaumont-De-Lomagne20
2026-04-30Vincennes18th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/017/033/0627/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/01/20264th13/266%63%-0.03
22/01/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
12/02/20265th33/10%33%+0.33
07/03/20263rd33/10%71%+0.71
10/04/20262nd18/15%89%+0.84
30/04/20268th50/10%30%+0.30
03/06/20264th28/10%57%+0.57
17/06/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
27/07/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13