7
Nuba De Pervenche
3yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Roquepine - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-07-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 25/02/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 89% | +0.34 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |