12
Ireland Team
8yo Mare · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Minou Du Donjon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#12
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Agen | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Vichy | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Agen | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-03-03 | Agen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-01-22 | Mauquenchy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 16/12/2024 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 26/12/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 76% | +0.50 |
| 22/01/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 03/03/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 94% | +0.15 |
| 21/06/2025 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 13/09/2025 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 18/11/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 13/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |