1

Jafar De Fael

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix Minou Du Donjon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#15

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Les Sables 08/07/2024 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 08/07C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 02/10/2024 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 17/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 017/10C?C0 @ Graignes 12/11/2024 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 09/01/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 09/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 12/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Caen 06/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 06/03C?C0 @ Enghien 14/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 06 @ Agen 17/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 017/016projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Langon-Libourne?0
2026-01-17Agen67th7th0
2025-06-06Toulouse?0
2025-04-11Toulouse?0
2025-03-14Enghien?6th6th0
2025-03-06Caen?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0712/116/0317/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20248th10/382%53%-0.29
02/10/202413th25/10%20%+0.20
17/10/20244th10/147%75%+0.28
12/11/20249th28/10%33%+0.33
09/01/20258th11/142%46%+0.04
12/02/20253rd9/153%83%+0.31
06/03/20258th10/147%46%-0.01
14/03/20256th15/261%50%-0.11
17/01/20267th16/116%54%+0.38