8
Java De Ligny
7yo Mare · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Minou Du Donjon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-01 | Hyeres | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Agen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-08 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-16 | Toulouse | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 14-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2024 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 01/05/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 16/01/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/02/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 04/03/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 23/03/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 01/05/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |