2
Java De Rouaisse
7yo Mare · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Minou Du Donjon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#11
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vichy | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 07/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/02/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/04/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/05/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |