16
Kentucky Piya
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Minou Du Donjon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
67%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength21%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cherbourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-19 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Enghien | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2024 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 17/09/2024 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/09/2024 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 29/10/2024 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 01/07/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.87 |
| 19/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 58% | -0.07 |