13
Keops Tillaye
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Minou Du Donjon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#13
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-12 | Chatelaillon | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-19 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Agen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/11/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 26/01/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 09/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 26/02/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/07/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |