11
King's Game
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Minou Du Donjon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#3
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength41%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Agen | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-16 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2024 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 08/02/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 06/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 30/11/2025 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 16/12/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 29/04/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |