15

Korede

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix Minou Du Donjon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 31/01/2024 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 031/01C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 22/03/2024 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 22/05/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/05C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 18/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 018/04C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 20/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 28/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 028/08C?5 @ Marseille-borely 27/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS27/035projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-24Marseille-borely60
2026-03-27Marseille-borely54th3rd+1
2025-08-28Marseille-borely?3rd3rd0
2025-08-20Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2025-06-20Marseille-borely?2nd2nd0
2025-04-18Marseille-borely?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0115/0828/0827/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/20243rd17/255%75%+0.20
22/03/20243rd28/10%83%+0.83
22/05/20242nd20/10%89%+0.89
15/08/20247th9/153%14%-0.38
18/04/20255th17/255%73%+0.18
20/06/20252nd7/163%92%+0.29
28/08/20253rd6/168%82%+0.13
27/03/20264th10/147%81%+0.34