7
Ksar Blue Bocain
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Minou Du Donjon - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint Galmier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Agen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-07 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 15/09/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.09 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 19/12/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 07/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 94% | +0.78 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 81% | +0.44 |