6

Mad Dream
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Lurabo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Toulouse | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |