9
Magnum Dairpet
4yo Colt · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Lurabo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength52%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Agen | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Agen | 2 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Agen | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-22 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 18/11/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 22/12/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |