5
Misaki D'ourville
4yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Lurabo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Cavaillon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Lyon La Soie | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 15/10/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 19/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 77% | -0.16 |
| 09/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 14/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |