10
My Dream Du Grais
4yo Colt · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Lurabo - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Enghien | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |
| 17/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/04/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 77% | +0.72 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.82 |
| 03/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |