14
Matis Du Vignac
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Lutin D'isigny - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#8
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Agen | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2025-09-02 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-03 | Agen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Agen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-01-22 | Agen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-01-10 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -12.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 22/01/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 15/02/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 03/03/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 02/09/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |