IvyArcIvyArc
13

Maldive De Tillard

4yo Filly · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix Fandango - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#8

Rank

Odds

55/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 21/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 021/09C?C0 @ Vichy 26/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12326/05C?C0 @ Vichy 30/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12330/06C?C0 @ Toulouse 14/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 014/11C?5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 08/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 08/015projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-11Vichy?0
2026-01-08Bordeaux Le Bouscat58th8th0
2025-11-14Toulouse?9th9th0
2025-06-30Vichy?3rd3rd0
2025-05-26Vichy?3rd3rd0
2024-09-21Vichy?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0926/0530/0614/118/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength9%

Delivery trend -9.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20243rd8/158%78%+0.20
26/05/20253rd33/10%85%+0.85
30/06/20253rd11/142%85%+0.43
14/11/20259th40/10%33%+0.33
08/01/20268th40/10%0%0.00