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11

Merci Madame

4yo Filly · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix Fandango - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#5

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Agen 02/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 02/046C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 013/07C?C0 @ Vichy 25/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 025/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Beaumont-De-Lomagne?0
2026-09-03Beaumont-De-Lomagne?0
2026-08-25Vichy?5th5th0
2026-07-13Beaumont-De-Lomagne?4th4th0
2026-04-02Agen65th6th−1
2026-01-08Bordeaux Le Bouscat6−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0413/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength71%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/04/20265th33/10%67%+0.67
13/07/20264th33/10%80%+0.80
25/08/20265th33/10%67%+0.67