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3

Mona Lisa Stardust

4yo Filly · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix Fandango - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#11

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Toulouse 14/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 014/11C?5 @ Toulouse 30/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 030/0155 @ Toulouse 26/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 026/0355 @ Toulouse 03/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 03/045projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-03Toulouse58th8th0
2026-03-26Toulouse54th4th0
2026-01-30Toulouse57th7th0
2025-11-14Toulouse?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1130/0126/033/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength22%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/202510th28/10%25%+0.25
30/01/20267th20/10%40%+0.40
26/03/20264th28/10%77%+0.77
03/04/20268th14/126%22%-0.04