5
My First Lady
4yo Filly · 0-0
Toulouse · Prix Fandango - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#14
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 30/05/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 30/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 62% | +0.01 |
| 25/08/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |