IvyArcIvyArc
6

My Lady Green

4yo Filly · 0-0

Toulouse · Prix Fandango - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

21%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 25/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 025/06C?6 @ Marseille-borely 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 027/036C0 @ Vichy 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 011/05C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-11Vichy?7th7th0
2026-03-27Marseille-borely61st2nd−1
2025-06-25Vichy?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0627/0311/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20259th80/10%38%+0.38
27/03/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
11/05/20267th20/10%57%+0.57