5

Dayak

7yo Horse · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Cleomede - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#1

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

92%

Place Prob

64%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 28/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 028/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 03/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/12C?2 @ Vincennes 22/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Vincennes 05/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05/024C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 04 @ Vincennes 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 06/0645 @ Vincennes 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Enghien 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 018/074projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Cabourg40
2026-08-06Enghien2+2
2026-07-18Enghien41st1st0
2026-06-19Vincennes51st2nd1
2026-06-06Vincennes44th4th0
2026-05-20Le Croise-Laroche?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1022/016/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20255th17/255%75%+0.20
14/11/20253rd15/261%87%+0.26
03/12/20258th3/184%53%-0.31
22/01/202610th20/10%40%+0.40
05/02/202612th20/10%21%+0.21
20/05/20267th14/126%60%+0.34
06/06/20264th14/126%75%+0.49
19/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
18/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16