7
Happy Pacha
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Cleomede - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#6
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C11.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -7.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 18 | 12th | 29th | −14 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 08/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 03/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.17 |
| 25/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 27/06/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 16/07/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 15% | -0.00 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |