5

Madone Piya

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eros - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#9

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 28/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 028/04C?C0 @ Cabourg 08/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 27/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 027/07C?C0 @ Enghien 06/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 08/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 02/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 014/07C?C0 @ Amiens 29/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 04 @ Cabourg 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 021/084projClass-projected finish: 14th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Cabourg46th6th0
2026-07-29Amiens?8th8th0
2026-07-14Cabourg?5th5th0
2026-06-22Caen?0
2026-06-02Vincennes?11th11th0
2026-05-13Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/046/1014/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1713% of fieldRange 6-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/04/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
08/07/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
27/07/20256th6/168%55%-0.14
06/10/202511th28/10%29%+0.29
08/04/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
02/06/202611th15/261%0%-0.61
14/07/20265th22/10%64%+0.64
29/07/20268th5/174%36%-0.37
21/08/20266th40/10%62%+0.62