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16

Maline Des Arris

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eros - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#11

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 22/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 022/07C?C0 @ Enghien 16/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 016/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 13/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 013/12C?4 @ Vincennes 19/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 019/024C0 @ Vincennes 31/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/03C?4 @ Enghien 13/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 013/084projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Vire?0
2026-08-13Enghien47th7th0
2026-07-31Cabourg?0
2026-03-31Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-02-19Vincennes44th4th0
2026-02-01Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0713/1213/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 9-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20252nd25/10%92%+0.92
16/10/20252nd25/10%92%+0.92
31/10/20255th11/142%71%+0.29
13/12/20256th18/15%64%+0.59
19/02/20264th18/15%77%+0.72
31/03/20263rd17/255%83%+0.28
13/08/20267th20/10%33%+0.33