1

Maliziosa

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eros - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#17

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Malo 08/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 08/06C?C0 @ La Capelle 21/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 021/07C?6 @ Argentan 06/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 06/026C0 @ Mauquenchy 16/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 016/03C?5 @ Lisieux 26/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 026/035projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Cabourg?0
2026-06-28Chartres?0
2026-03-26Lisieux55th6th1
2026-03-16Mauquenchy?5th5th0
2026-02-06Argentan69th11th2
2025-07-21La Capelle?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0621/076/0216/0326/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1725% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20253rd40/10%82%+0.82
21/07/20259th17/255%43%-0.12
06/02/20269th25/10%38%+0.38
16/03/20265th25/10%64%+0.64
26/03/20265th50/10%69%+0.69