12

Mascotte Du Stade
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Eros - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#13
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength1%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Argentan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Agen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-26 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 26/08/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 09/02/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.82 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 26/03/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 46% | -0.09 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |