9

Maya Pont Vautier

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eros - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 19/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 019/07C?C0 @ Caen 17/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Hvy 017/09C?C0 @ Enghien 16/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 016/10C?5 @ Vincennes 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 017/0155 @ Caen 12/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 012/0355 @ Le Mans 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 025/0754 @ Vincennes 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04/094projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Vincennes47th7th0
2026-07-25Le Mans51st2nd1
2026-03-12Caen56th7th1
2026-01-17Vincennes53rd4th1
2025-12-05Saint Brieuc?0
2025-10-16Enghien?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0717/014/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20253rd4/179%80%+0.01
17/09/20252nd9/276%92%+0.16
16/10/20255th7/163%67%+0.04
17/01/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
12/03/20266th15/261%67%+0.06
25/07/20261st40/10%100%+1.00
04/09/20267th50/10%60%+0.60