2
Mellynga
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Eros - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#15
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Caen | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 24/03/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 14/04/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |