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15

Miami

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eros - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#16

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 22/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 022/07C?C0 @ Caen 02/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 05 @ Lisieux 26/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 026/035C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Cholet 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 09/06C?5 @ Cabourg 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 21/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 021/07C?C0 @ Amiens 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 016/08C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Argentan?6th6th0
2026-07-29Amiens?4th4th0
2026-07-21Cabourg?8th8th0
2026-07-03Cabourg57th8th−1
2026-06-09Cholet?5th5th0
2026-04-14Lyon-Parilly?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0714/0421/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength59%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20254th25/10%75%+0.75
02/03/202610th80/10%31%+0.31
26/03/20262nd18/15%92%+0.87
14/04/20263rd11/142%78%+0.36
09/06/20265th25/10%69%+0.69
03/07/20267th20/10%54%+0.54
21/07/20268th33/10%50%+0.50
29/07/20264th66/10%73%+0.73
16/08/20266th28/10%58%+0.58