10
Moana De Wallis
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Eros - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
74%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +11.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 58% | -0.05 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 09/12/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |