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14

Moon Normandy

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eros - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#2

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Les Sables 04/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 04/09C?C0 @ Vichy 20/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 020/09C?C0 @ Amiens 13/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 013/11C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 24/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 024/02C?5 @ Lisieux 26/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 026/035C0 @ Enghien 02/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 02/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Cabourg40
2026-08-02Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-06-24Vichy?0
2026-06-16Vincennes?0
2026-03-26Lisieux53rd4th−1
2026-02-24Mauquenchy?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0920/0913/1124/0226/032/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 12-17 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength16%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20254th5/493%73%-0.21
20/09/20253rd4/596%82%-0.14
13/11/20252nd4/696%92%-0.05
24/02/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
26/03/20263rd15/890%85%-0.06
02/08/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01