13

Musica Julma

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eros - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#8

Rank

Odds

55/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Meslay Du Maine 15/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 015/05C?C0 @ Nantes 29/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f67y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 10/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 010/06C?C0 @ Enghien 27/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 23/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 023/09C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 30/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 04 @ Vincennes 13/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 013/0244 @ Vincennes 19/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 31/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/03C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-28Vincennes?0
2026-04-16Enghien40
2026-03-31Vincennes?4th4th0
2026-02-19Vincennes43rd3rd0
2026-02-13Vincennes45th5th0
2025-11-30Beaumont-De-Lomagne?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0527/0713/0231/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%

Delivery trend +9.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20253rd15/261%86%+0.25
29/05/20252nd8/158%92%+0.34
10/06/20252nd5/174%93%+0.19
27/07/202511th17/255%9%-0.46
23/09/20258th22/10%30%+0.30
30/11/20253rd25/10%82%+0.82
13/02/20265th25/10%64%+0.64
19/02/20263rd22/10%85%+0.85
31/03/20264th25/10%75%+0.75