4

My Lovely Lady

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eros - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chartres 13/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 013/04C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 07/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 07/06C?6 @ Pornichet 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 023/076C0 @ Enghien 10/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 010/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-10Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-07-23Pornichet62nd4th2
2026-06-07Chateaubriant?4th4th0
2025-04-13Chartres?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/047/0623/0710/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/04/20257th33/10%40%+0.40
07/06/20264th20/10%73%+0.73
23/07/20262nd28/10%92%+0.92
10/08/20263rd28/10%86%+0.86
31/08/20263rd9/153%83%+0.31