10
Le Bolide
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Elisa - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-07 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Argentan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 25/08/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 91% | +0.86 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 07/12/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 69% | -0.12 |