7
Lexcellent Du Metz
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Elisa - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-14 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.08 |
| 13/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 22/07/2025 | 9th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 28/09/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.08 |
| 30/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 14/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |