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5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Elisa - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Pornichet | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Caen | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Nantes | 5 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-11-20 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.08 |
| 11/10/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 13/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.38 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 64% | -0.24 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |