3

Liquidateur

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Elisa - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#4

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 05/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 05/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Angers 01/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 01/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 28/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 03/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/02C?3 @ Vincennes 13/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03 @ Caen 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 09/0533 @ Enghien 23/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 03 @ Enghien 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 026/063projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Enghien30
2026-06-26Enghien35th5th0
2026-05-23Enghien310th10th0
2026-05-09Caen35th5th0
2026-04-24Vincennes30
2026-04-04Vincennes30

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0528/129/0526/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
20/06/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
01/10/20253rd15/261%87%+0.26
28/12/20257th13/266%57%-0.09
03/02/20267th66/10%25%+0.25
13/02/20263rd11/142%83%+0.41
09/05/20265th11/486%69%-0.16
23/05/202610th25/10%36%+0.36
26/06/20265th50/10%64%+0.64