5
Loco Fligny
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Elisa - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Vincennes | 4 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 18/11/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/01/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 11/01/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 09/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |