6

Look Meslois

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Elisa - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#3

Rank

Odds

17/10

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Malo 12/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 012/08C?C0 @ Cabourg 26/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 15/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 015/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Pontchateau 06/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f202y 06/03C?4 @ Vincennes 03/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Cabourg 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 024/074C0 @ Lisieux 17/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 04 @ Vincennes 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/094projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Vincennes41st2nd1
2026-08-17Lisieux?6th6th0
2026-07-24Cabourg44th5th1
2026-06-27Enghien?0
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?0
2026-04-03Vincennes43rd4th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/083/1124/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20254th33/10%77%+0.77
26/08/20252nd6/594%92%-0.01
15/10/20255th14/126%73%+0.47
03/11/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
06/03/20263rd17/255%75%+0.20
03/04/20263rd5/287%78%-0.09
24/07/20264th8/158%77%+0.19
17/08/20266th4/179%58%-0.21
04/09/20261st16/116%100%+0.84