12

Loquidy

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Elisa - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Graignes 03/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 03/02C?C0 @ Caen 04/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 12/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/10C?C0 @ Cabourg 23/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 20/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 020/11C?4 @ Vincennes 06/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Vincennes 22/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/0143 @ Vincennes 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Laval 19/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 019/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Laval?10th10th0
2026-02-13Vincennes31st1st0
2026-01-22Vincennes41st2nd1
2026-01-06Vincennes41st2nd1
2025-11-20Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2025-10-23Cabourg?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0223/1022/0119/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
04/05/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
12/10/20254th22/10%80%+0.80
23/10/20252nd9/276%93%+0.17
20/11/20252nd9/276%92%+0.16
06/01/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
22/01/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
13/02/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
19/08/202610th28/10%18%+0.18