2
Lucky Meslois
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Elisa - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 18/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 65% | +0.38 |
| 21/12/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 10/04/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.04 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 12/08/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 15% | -0.45 |