4

Magie Mesloise

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eucharis - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength1%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 24/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 024/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 06/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 06/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 07/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 07/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 01/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 01/01C?C0 @ Vire 18/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 31/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/03C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-31Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-03-18Vire?9th9th0
2026-01-01Vincennes?1st1st0
2025-12-03Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-11-07Vincennes?6th6th0
2025-10-31Vincennes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0531/101/0131/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20252nd15/261%91%+0.30
03/06/20254th13/266%67%+0.01
06/10/202510th10/147%36%-0.12
31/10/20256th12/137%64%+0.27
07/11/20256th11/142%64%+0.22
03/12/20258th11/142%42%-0.00
01/01/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
18/03/20269th66/10%38%+0.38
31/03/20261st13/266%100%+0.34