5

Malicia Bella

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eucharis - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 12/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 012/10C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 09/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 09/11C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 022/04C?4 @ Vincennes 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/064C0 @ Saint-Malo 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 05/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Saint-Malo?3rd3rd0
2026-06-12Vincennes48th9th1
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?1st1st0
2025-11-09Chatelaillon?1st1st0
2025-10-12Bordeaux Le Bouscat?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/109/1122/0412/065/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength29%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/10/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
09/11/20251st1/499%100%+0.01
22/04/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
12/06/20268th6/492%50%-0.42
05/08/20263rd6/492%82%-0.10