5

Malicia Bella
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Eucharis - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Chatelaillon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 82% | -0.10 |