6
Marina James
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Eucharis - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#16
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Cordemais | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Chatelaillon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 09/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 15/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/06/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.41 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |