13
Merry
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Eucharis - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#15
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.04 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.00 |