1
Middle Earth
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Eucharis - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-13 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Caen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Cherbourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 13/01/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |