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12

Moonstar Jyl

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eucharis - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#11

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 01/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01/02C?4 @ Vincennes 19/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 019/024C0 @ Laval 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 019/08C?4 @ Vincennes 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04/094projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Vincennes45th6th−1
2026-08-19Laval?6th6th0
2026-07-11Enghien4−1
2026-06-12Vincennes4−1
2026-05-06Vincennes?0
2026-03-31Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0219/0219/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +23.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/02/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
19/02/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
19/08/20266th66/10%67%+0.67
04/09/20265th80/10%73%+0.73