14

Moscantida Peal
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Eucharis - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#14
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C11.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-09-02 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 18 | 3rd | 21th | −15 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 2-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.12 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |