14

Moscantida Peal

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Eucharis - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#14

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C11.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cordemais 15/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 13415/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 12/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/05C?C0 @ Enghien 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 21/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 021/07C?18 @ Enghien 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/08C?C0 @ La Capelle 02/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Vincennes 11/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 011/094projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Vincennes46th7th1
2026-09-02La Capelle?6th6th0
2026-08-26Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-08Enghien183rd21th15
2026-07-21Cabourg?7th7th0
2026-06-29Enghien?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0429/0626/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 2-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20266th20/10%64%+0.64
21/04/20262nd7/282%93%+0.12
12/05/20265th3/184%56%-0.29
29/06/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25
21/07/20267th80/10%40%+0.40
08/08/20263rd3/184%75%-0.09
26/08/20263rd3/184%86%+0.02
02/09/20266th33/10%67%+0.67
11/09/20266th66/10%71%+0.71