8
Moustache
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Eucharis - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#3
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Saint Galmier | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 17/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 94% | +0.57 |